Recession and the Relocation - What will it Mean?Dominic Tidey - EuRA Operations Director
The UK and USA are now firmly in recession, with most countries of the Eurozone not far behind. The media across the world have made doom-laden prophecies concerning the similarity of the current situation to the banking collapse of 1929. However, the advent of globalisation removed one the most significant elements that caused the depression of the 1930’s; protectionism in domestic markets. Protectionism is the enemy of relocation. Increased freedom in global trade, the removal of import tariffs and the growth of international trading areas, have changed the world and increased the demands for mobility. But, as global trade slows and liquidity in the financial markets starts to bite on already cash strapped companies, what does a global downturn mean for the relocation industry?
There are two theories as to how the corporate world will respond to a recession. The first is the need to capture new markets, when markets at home start to fail. This is especially true of the US, whose economy has a large manufacturing component. As Detroit feels the domestic chill of consumers saving and not replacing their car each year, so the overseas markets opened up by brands such as Chevrolet, Jeep and Dodge, become even more critical. Will we see Acura, Buick and Lincoln make the same overseas forays? If so, mobility services will obviously follow.
The second corporate response is likely to be an examination of the costs of their mobility programmes and this will mean one of two things;
Firstly, the type of assignment could change to reduce costs. The numbers of short term and commuter assignments have grown across the world, but actually tend to be very expensive. The corporate housing industry, an effective barometer of the popularity of short-term assignments, has seen an unprecedented growth in the US and UK over the past two years. Both the UK based Association of Serviced Apartment Providers and the US based Corporate Housing Providers Association report record growth in the numbers of members and the revenues of those members over the last quarter, as a result of providing very high quality solutions for corporate clients. However, transferees on short-term assignments are unlikely to be placed on local employment terms and in many cases this is prohibitively expensive. Link together the costs of corporate housing versus a longer lease with travel costs associated with commuting and it soon becomes clear that having the employee in site for 3 months, may cost as much as having him/her on local contract for 12. This will actually increase the number of assisted transfers in some territories.
Secondly, the obvious solution for the pressured HR Director, is to further reduce costs. This can be done in two ways; renegotiating the current agreements with Global Management Companies (GMC’s) which further reduces service fees for the Destination Service Provider (DSP), or looking at internal transferee management. This would be going back to the pre-1990’s model of directly controlled mobility managed by corporate HR. This model, of using an internally selected DSP network, has been adopted in part by some major global corporations recently.
It is easy to speculate on the future for the relocation industry but difficult to make any accurate predictions. What is certain however, is that as corporate clients begin to re-examine their practices, so their key assets will have to be maintained at any costs. This will mean, those senior managers, with mobility experience and skills will be in more demand globally than ever. It would seem counter productive to alienate them by reducing mobility support.
At the EuRA Members’ Day in Lille, we invited Sally Goodsell, CEO of FSO, a UK based venture capitol body, supported by government and private funding, whose aim is to support start up of small to medium sized enterprises (SME’s). As a response to the liquidity crisis, not only has she moved the fund distribution away from start up and into cash flow support for SME’s she has also been working with the UK and EU finance ministers to help respond to this global crisis. Her advice is to emphasise quality, communication and collaboration to get through this uncertain time.
“Ensure that your levels of service are maintained and you don’t take older clients for granted. It is important for stability to maintain long term clients as well as taking on new accounts [and] as every networking junkie knows SMEs are stronger together. Now is the time to build on existing alliances and start new ones with like-minded organisations. The ‘like-minded’ bit is crucial - strength comes from joining forces with people with the same ethos so that you can easily share contacts, knowledge and even resources.”
EuRA President and founder of RSB Deutschland, began his career in relocation 22 years ago and survived the last recession. As a leading relocation provider in Germany, he sees a clear way forward in difficult times;
“What always has been true is even more true now: The key to success and survival is quality. Within EuRA, within the relocation industry it has a new name: the EuRA Quality Seal. It could not have been implemented at a better time. HR and procurement managers who seek relocation support, look for reliable partners who are well structured and know what they are doing to deliver the required quality. The same applies to the GMC, a group of significant importance and strong influence for many reasons. They need local DSP’s who turn their promises into reality. Both groups, HR managers as well as GMC’s benefit from the EuRA Quality Seal. Providers who have gained this accreditation are “pre screened“ and give assurance that they deliver quality at the highest standards. EuRA is continuously working on stringent improvements to the EQS standards. We will see less moves, but those we will be assiting will be even more crucial. Therefore there will be no room for trail and error for every move to be a success every move must be a success. The investment is of huge importance and must be protected by top quality. For example €50less for a relocation programme does not justify the risk of a failed assignment.”
These are difficult times and by all accounts may become more difficult in future months. However, EuRA members represent the very highest standards of service delivery, are an effective and ready network and can support the needs of both the corporate client and the GMC. We look forward to looking closer at the issues that face our industry during our Vienna International Relocation Congress in April.
Dominic Tidey - February 2009